Use of the program «SPROS» for predicting the demand for energy resources

Spitkovskyi A.I., PhD (Biol.), Associate Professor,
Maliarenko O.Ye., PhD (Engin.), Senior Research Scientist, https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5882-916X ,
Stanytsina V.V., PhD (Engin.), https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1005-6185 ,
Maistrenko N.Yu., PhD (Engin.), https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1757-1665
Institute of General Energy of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, 172 Antonovycha str., Kyiv, 03150, Ukraine
Language: Ukrainian
Source: The Problems of General Energy, 2017, 2(49):5-13
https://doi.org/10.15407/pge2017.02.005
Section: Scientific foundations of the development and optimization of fuel-and-energy balances
UDC: 620.9.002.8
Received: 31.05.2017
Published: 14.07.2017

Abstract:

The paper presents the structure, working principle, and interface of the developed new computer program «SPROS», which enables one, to perform fast calculations of the projected demand for all types of fuel and energy with using the method of complex forecasting for different consumer groups at the selected hierarchical levels of economy structure. The program makes it possible to harmonize the predictions of energy consumption based on the forecasts at TOP- and DOWN-levels made by different methods for different parameters of energy efficiency. Our program takes into account the separately calculated potentials of energy saving caused by structural and technological changes in the economy and enables one to estimate  the projected energy demand for different levels of economy structure with a high degree of convergence.

Keywords: program, demand, energy resources, coal, natural gas, electricity, forecasting.

References:

  1. Kulyk, М.M., Malyarenko, O.Ye., Maistrenko, N.Yu., Stanytsina, V.V., & Spitkovskyi, A.I. (2017). Application of the method of complex forecasting for the determination of long-term demand for energy resources. Problemy Zahal’noi Enerhetyky - The Problems of General Energy, 1(48), 5-15 [in Ukrainian]. https://doi.org/10.15407/pge2017.01.005.
  2. Malyarenko, O.Ye., Maistrenko, N.Yu., & Stanytsina, V.V. (2016). Substantiation of the predictive volumes of energy saving potential in the enlarged sectors of economy with regard for technological and structural changes. Problemy Zahal’noi Enerhetyky - The Problems of General Energy, 4 (47), 58-67 [in Ukrainian]. https://doi.org/10.15407/pge2016.04.058.

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