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Prospects of the operation of Ukrainian gas transportation system under the integration natural gas markets

Leshchenko I.Ch., PhD (Engin.), Senior Research Scientist, Spitkovskyi A.I., PhD (Biol.), Associate Professor
Institute of General Energy of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, 172 Antonovycha St., Kyiv, 03680, Ukraine
Language: Ukrainian
Source: The Problems of General Energy, 2016, 2(45):5-15
Section: Systemic studies and complex problems of the energy sector
UDC: 656.56
Received: 11.05.2016
Published: 10.06.2016


The effective functioning of the gas transmission system (GTS) of Ukraine greatly depends on the processes that occur in the world natural gas markets. This article gives an analysis of the processes that led to the conclusion that the main factors of integration of regional gas markets is the development of LNG trade, improving technology and expanding the geography of unconventional gas production.
It is shown that the most important factors affecting the operational efficiency of the Ukrainian gas transportation system is the amount of gas and their transportation routes. They are formed under the influence of the mutual combination of economic, environmental and technological factors, which are defined as the state of the world and European economies, and political decisions of the European Union and the Russian Federation.
Results generated representative scenarios of the Ukrainian GTS download for the period until 2040. It is shown that for all scenarios its functioning in the future will be less effective, and the reconstruction of an existing circuit structure makes no economic sense until the problem to ensure the volume and direction of natural gas transit through the territory of Ukraine is solved.

Keywords: gas transportation system, the integration natural gas markets, forecasting, transit of natural gas representative scenarios.


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